https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

PDMJ

Data that disprove

the COVID-19 pandemic

December 19, 2020.

Completed peer-review and revised, January 18, 2021

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Colleen Huber,

Boris Borovoy,

PDMJ.org is retained by the author(s).

Abstract

A pandemic that calls the attention of the public, and action by the medical field, is one that

raises the total death rate above that of a typical year or season. The COVID-19 era that began

in early 2020 has received continuous and rapt attention in the United States for deaths that

have occurred. Has COVID-19 resulted in more deaths (known as “excess deaths”) than would

have happened in a typical year? An obstacle to answering that question is that COVID-19

testing is flawed and imprecise, for reasons discussed herein, and it is difficult to distinguish

COVID-19 from other respiratory illnesses, due to symptoms and signs that are mostly

indistinguishable from the common cold, flu or pneumonia. It is possible that deaths of

multiple causes have been ascribed to COVID-19, especially due to new peculiarities in

mortality reporting during 2020 discussed herein. Therefore, year-over-year comparison of

deaths from all causes is likely the best analysis of available evidence of whether the United

States is now confronted by a deadly pandemic. The CDC mortality numbers are as yet

unaudited by independent parties. Therefore, we compare numbers of obituaries in 2020 and

2019, which are verifiable reports of deaths of specific, identified individuals. We also examine

the earnings statements of the largest medical suppliers in the US, to see if their sales of

medical oxygen and other medical equipment prove a pandemic. These data all indicate that

there has been no pandemic in the US in 2020.

Colleen Huber, NMD is a Naturopathic Medical Doctor and Naturopathic Oncologist (FNORI), writing on topics of

masks, COVID-19, cancer and nutrition.

Boris A Borovoy, MPH has a Master in Public Health from Moscow Medical Academy.

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Background

A pandemic is the prevalent spread of a disease over an entire country or worldwide, and there

is often increased mortality for its duration compared to more typical years. Early rises in death

rate are a warning of an especially dangerous pandemic. In 2020, it has been widely assumed

that COVID-19 is an unusually deadly pandemic.

Understanding the COVID-19 phenomenon has been obstructed by several factors.

COVID-19 is assumed to be caused by a coronavirus that is said to be novel, “SARS-Cov-2.”

However, SARS is likely a misnomer, because it is an abbreviation of Severe Acute Respiratory

Syndrome. It is not at all clear that a majority or even a significant minority of COVID-19

patients have had acute respiratory distress with this illness. Other factors, such as use of over-

pressurized ventilators, have led to acute respiratory distress among COVID-19 patients.

The most confusing aspect of COVID-19 is reliance on a manufacturing technique, now nearly

universally re-purposed as a test for the presence of the SARS-Cov-2 virus, although there are

many problems with this “test.” We list these problems below:

1. The very questionable applicability of the manufacturing technique, the reverse-

transcriptase / polymerase chain reaction technique for propagating RNA, now used

throughout the world as a test for presence of the particular infectious agent in

question, or of other coronaviruses, virions and virus particles that may resemble or

share common nucleic acid sequences with the SARS-Cov-2 infectious agent, without

distinction among those; and

2. The 80% and higher false positive rate of this “test” in the diagnosis of COVID-19,

partially due to cross-immunity to fragments of other coronaviruses, inevitably present

in the human body,

followed by political pressure to recant these findings; and

3. The arbitrary number of iterations of this “test” (cycle thresholds) that must be selected

to produce a positive “result”; and

4. Instructions given to physicians by the CDC to code cases as COVID-19 deaths including

presumptively, even though multiple severe co-morbidities are typical among

individuals whose deaths were called COVID-19;

and

5. Controversy regarding higher Medicare and private insurance reimbursement for

COVID-19 patients than for flu patients,

which may have skewed reported cause of

death on death certificates; and

6. Generous financial rewards to hospitals by the US CARES Act for the number of COVID-

19 patients they treat; and

7. The possibility that there may be political influences in altering the true number of

deaths from COVID-19.

Two of these problems in particular merit greater attention.

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

COVID-19 has been very heavily marketed as a pandemic to the US public, with two important

aspects that led to false reporting of US mortality data for COVID-19.

The incentive for mis-stated US mortality data is the financial influence created by the US

CARES Act, which budgeted $175 billion dollars for distribution to hospitals for treatment of

COVID-19 patients, with many hospitals receiving millions of dollars in such aid.

Specific

financial incentives that favored COVID-19 diagnosis over other similar diagnoses such as flu,

pneumonia and bronchitis especially, included a Medicare incentive of only $5,000 per patient

for pneumonia, but $13,000 per patient for the pathologically indistinguishable COVID-19

pneumonia.

Further, the CARES Act incentive of $39,000 to treat such a patient with a

ventilator resulted in financially lucrative outcomes for hospitals, but medically lethal outcomes

for patients.

The core of public confusion and fear of COVID-19 stems from the testing itself. Reverse-

transcriptase, polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is a manufacturing technique for producing

more RNA nucleic acid sequences. It was not intended by its inventor, the late Kary Mullis, PhD,

as a test for an infectious disease. He warned against its use in such an application. He

especially warned that it could be misused if the cycles, or iterations, of this procedure were

processed too many times on a particular specimen. Regarding the use of RT-PCR to attempt to

detect infectious disease, he said, at 35 or 40 cycles, “you can find almost anything in

anybody.”

The CDC acknowledges that 33 cycles or more are unlikely to detect active virus.

The number of cycles used in “COVID-19 testing” in the US have been above 37, and often well

into the 40’s for all of 2020.

Laboratories in the US do not disclose the cycle thresholds that

they use in running RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 tests, except in Florida where the disclosure is

mandatory.

No standardization for cycle threshold values exists across different tests and

different laboratories.

Infectivity was found to be significantly reduced from positive tests when cycles were greater

than 24, and that for every 1-unit increase in cycle threshold, the odds ratio of infectivity

decreased by 32%.

Researchers concluded that PCR sensitivity is excellent (can find viral

particles very easily), but that its specificity for detecting replicative (active) virus is poor,

Dr. Mullis had warned. Nevertheless, RT-PCR has become “the COVID-19 test” used

ubiquitously throughout the US and many other countries.

The magnitude of deception resulting from this misuse, overuse, over-cycling and over-

advertising of PCR as a COVID-19 testing technique, along with frequent exhortations by

politicians to “get tested,” can hardly be overstated. This is the core of the problem of the

public falsely believing that there is a pandemic, and that its name is COVID-19.

Therefore, in order to attain the truest picture of the impact of the COVID-19 on public health,

it would be helpful to look at deaths from all causes, to see if there has been a significant

change.

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Deaths attributed to COVID-19 are at the oldest ages; yet age distribution of all-cause

mortality did not significantly change during weeks of peak reported COVID-19 deaths

Researcher Genevieve Briand PhD hypothesized that the over-counting of COVID-19 death

numbers may be due to society’s heavy focus on that topic, which would eclipse awareness or

even reporting of more typical causes of death.

Dr. Briand found that the proportion of total deaths in US by age group did not change from

before COVID-19 to after its peak incidence in the US. The CDC has shown throughout 2020

that peak incidence of COVID-19 deaths occurred the weeks ending April 11 and April 18,

2020,

as shown in this graph:

Graph 1

Briand’s research showed that for all weeks of 2020 to date, a consistent proportion, among

different age groups, of deaths from all causes occurred. Her research was quickly removed

from the internet almost as soon as it was posted. The publisher, then censor, was Johns

Hopkins University, with known financial ties to World Economic Forum and Bill and Melinda

Gates Foundation, each of which has taken an active role in promoting COVID-19 as the catalyst

that justifies a New World Order.

Several concerns regarding over-reporting of COVID-19 data

are enumerated above.

Here is the clearest available photo of Dr. Briand’s graph of the age distribution of total deaths

from February 1, 2020, which is before COVID-19 affected the US population, before there was

even one death from it, through early September 2020.

5000

10000

15000

20000

US COVID-19 deaths, 2020

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Graph by Genevieve Briand

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Our updated graph, derived from CDC data through 01/02/2021

of the same analysis is as

follows:

Graph 2

What is especially interesting about the age distribution of total deaths is that there is no

extreme change at any time in 2020 of the proportion of total deaths for any age group, except

for the last seven weeks, but those weeks do not correspond to COVID-19 peak mortality

reporting, which was in April 2020. The CDC showed the weeks ending April 11 and April 18,

2020 (weeks 11 and 12 of the above graph) as the weeks with the highest COVID-19 deaths, yet

there is barely perceptible difference in age distribution of deaths, even during those weeks. If

there were a pandemic that affected all age groups equally, such a consistency over the year

would not be surprising.

However, COVID-19 is a peculiar phenomenon in that the average age of death for COVID-19 is

beyond the average age of total deaths. Unfortunately, regarding COVID-19, much of the

important data still remains hidden. The BBC reports average age of death in Scotland is 79.1,

but the average age of COVID-19 death in Scotland is 81.5.

The mean age of COVID-19 death

in France is 79 years.

If there were a large number of deaths from COVID-19, with average

age of death of 79 to 81, there would have been wide swings in age distribution toward the

higher age groups during peak time periods of deaths that were attributed to COVID-19. In

comparison with the first four weeks studied (February 2020), when there were no COVID-19

deaths, there would have been a rise in the proportion of those in the highest age categories of

all deaths. However, that change did not happen. As Briand concluded, COVID-19 had no

effect on the percentage of deaths of older people as a portion of the whole population.

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

120.00%

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

From Week 1 ending 02/01/2020 to Week 49 ending 11/14/2020

% of Total Deaths per Age Group, 2020, US

0-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85 and over

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

The graph below, from Science,

shows the Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19. We see that

the deaths are skewed strongly toward the upper ages.

The average life expectancy in the US is 78.7 to 78.9 years.

If the average age of death

from COVID-19 is above the average US life expectancy, then COVID-19 cannot be a major

independent cause of death, as in cutting short the lives of people who were expected to live

longer. This of course varies with individuals, but cannot vary with respect to the population as

a whole.

Even from unaudited CDC data so far, it appears that COVID-19 has not made appreciable

impact on the overall US death rate. From 2017 through 2020 the rate of deaths in the US

population has stayed at 0.9%, keeping pace with population growth, as the following table

shows.

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Obituary data

To understand the discrepancy between the announcement of a pandemic that affects almost

entirely the elderly, yet does not change the deceased elderly as a proportion of the total

deceased, we must look beyond this particular set of data.

The CDC has presented on faith their enumerated death counts. One might ask, but where is

the evidence underlying these numbers? Of the largest obituary reporting services in the US,

the largest of these with the most transparent data seems to be United States Obituary Notices

(USObit.com.) This obituary reporting service reports the deaths of specific, verifiable

deceased individuals. The total numbers of deceased reported by USOBit.com are

approximately 20% to 25% of total deaths in the US as reported by the CDC. The data shown on

their site for 2019 and 2020 is summarized as follows.

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Table 1

Usobit.com

Pages of

x 12

Total deaths

US obituary notices

obituaries

per page

per month

Rank

Jan-20

4772

57264

Jan-19

7167

86004

Feb-20

4021

48252

Feb-19

5657

67884

Mar-20

3436

41232

Mar-19

5293

63516

Apr-20

3850

46200

Apr-19

4632

55584

May-20

3294

39528

May-19

3478

41736

Jun-20

4182

50184

Jun-19

4041

48492

Jul-20

3952

47424

Jul-19

4066

48792

Aug-20

3796

45552

Aug-19

3920

47040

Sep-20

3444

41328

Sep-19

4266

51192

Oct-20

3657

43884

Oct-19

4289

51468

Nov-20

3386

40632

Nov-19

4179

50148

Dec-20

3885

46620

Dec-19

4693

56316

Total US deaths

accounted for by

obituaries - 2020

548100

obituaries - 2019

668172

Obituaries of real, identifiable deceased individuals declined by almost 18% from 2019 to 2020.

If these obituaries are representative of deaths in the US as a whole, then it is impossible for

there to be a pandemic in the United States in 2020. These deaths are at least verifiable, unlike

the unaudited, unverified numbers that the CDC presents. It is also interesting that the month

with the largest number of COVID-19 deaths according to the CDC, April 2020, ranks 6

out of

the 12 months of 2020 regarding total obituaries. Other large obituary services did not respond

to requests for information or refused to share information on total numbers of obituaries in

2019 and in 2020.

Wall Street vs the pandemic story

There are other data that suggest that there is no pandemic, at least not involving a pathogen

that causes acute respiratory distress.

We looked at companies that produce and distribute medical oxygen. The following graph

shows total sales over the largest of those companies actually declined from 2019 to 2020.

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Table 2

At the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 had no perceptible impact on any aspect of life or business

in the US. By the end of 2020, almost every facet of American life had been shaken by the

phenomenon of the response to SARS-CoV-2. That is, every aspect except the public’s need for

medical oxygen. For the alleged “Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome” for which SARS-CoV-2

was named, US citizens have actually consumed less supplemental medical oxygen in 2020 than

in 2019, despite our growing population, thus disproving a 2020 pandemic involving a

respiratory pathogenic virus, i.e. the now legendary SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19.

In a related market, oxygen concentrators have been recently innovated to include small,

portable backpack units for individuals who are ambulatory with long-term chronic conditions

requiring supplemental oxygen, which is thought to account for much of the increase in sales in

2019. This welcome innovation greatly increased mobility and convenience for those

dependent on supplemental oxygen. But even those sales did not increase as much in 2020 as

they had in 2019, and are mostly irrelevant to a virus thought to be as acutely sickening as

SARS-CoV-2. Rather, small travel-size backpacks of oxygen concentrators are more suited to

ambulatory patients with chronic COPD, pulmonary fibrosis, and other non-emergent lung

diseases.

https://pdmj.org/papers/is_there_a_pandemic/

Then we looked at other medical products.

The five largest medical supply companies in the US are: McKesson, Amerisource Bergen,

Henry Schein, Cardinal Health and Medline Industries.

Their sales for 2019 and 2020, from

their corporate earnings reports

are compared below, as well as their change in growth over

that time.

Table 3

Although these five companies’ sales increased in 2020 over 2019, the growth rate for one year

has slowed from the 5-year aggregate overall growth rate for these companies. This is even

though the US population has steadily increased through those years.

Conclusion

On examination of diverse data, from CDC mortality data, to obituaries, to Wall Street earnings

reports, there are enough indicators that a pandemic involving a Severe Acute Respiratory

Syndrome (SARS) virus could not have taken place, at least not in the United States in 2020.

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